The tragedy is that it will come too late. By the time UKIP and the Conservatives accept Britain’s electoral logic, the damage will have been done.
It is now likelier than not that the Conservatives will offer an In/Out referendum. The danger is that my party will do so ambiguously, tardily or unconvincingly. Too unconvincingly, at any rate, for those in UKIP who are predisposed to disbelieve everything Tories say.
The two parties will end up fighting each other at the 2015 general election. UKIP won’t win a single seat, but will cause the Conservatives to lose dozens.The arguments against the Tories, particularly Mr Hannan, has been made many times before, to the point of watching paint dry, but sadly it needs to keep being reiterated. Here's the Tory record:
- Entered the EEC on a lie (read the 1971 internal document FCO 30/1048)
- Campaigned in the 1975 referendum for a yes vote, including Thatcher
- Passed the Single European Act
- Shadowed the Deutschmark in preparation to enter the ERM.
- Entered the ERM which directly lead to the early '90s recession
- Passed the Maastricht Treaty
- Have become, in Roger Helmer's words the most pro-EU government ever, since elected in 2010.
To use a football analogy; I have supported my team for over 25 years, in that time I've criticised players, managers and the board but every year I still renew my season ticket. That makes me a supporter not a sceptic. And the same is true of Tories, despite the criticism of some aspects of the EU, when that EU season ticket renewal comes up they gleefully renew. They are supporters not sceptics.Dan Hannan is our enemy. Bollocks to him - the Judas goat - and to his attempted deception.